Source notes · U.S. House by county, 2022 vs 2026

Kentucky: sources, checks and caveats

File: KY.csv, 120 counties. Columns: d = Democratic, r = Republican, o = all other U.S. House votes. Other covers independents, Libertarians and named write-in candidates. Each county's votes are summed over every congressional district that includes part of it. Six counties are split: - Logan 1+2 - Jefferson 2+3 - Nelson 2+4 - Carter 4+5 - Bath 5+6 - Anderson 1+6

Sources

2022 (certified)

No single machine-readable official county file exists: - The SBE's statewide "Certified General Election Results" PDF is a scanned image with no text layer. It is https://elect.ky.gov/results/2020-2029/Documents/1.17.2023%20Certified%20General%20Election%20Results.pdf (258 pages). - So is most of the per-county recap set.

Two sources were therefore combined.

1. KY State Board of Elections 2022 General recap sheets (official, precinct-level): https://elect.ky.gov/results/2020-2029/Pages/2022-General-Recap-Sheets.aspx - Files: https://elect.ky.gov/results/2020-2029/2022ElectionReports/GeneralRecaps/<County>%20County.pdf - Rockcastle is posted as Rockcastle%20County.xlsx. - Precinct totals were summed for every "UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE in CONGRESS" contest, using the Total column, which includes absentee, early and election-day votes. - This source was used for 51 counties: 50 PDFs with a text layer, plus the Rockcastle XLSX. The counties are Adair, Bath, Boone, Boyd, Boyle, Bracken, Bullitt, Calloway, Campbell, Christian, Clark, Crittenden, Daviess, Floyd, Franklin, Grayson, Green, Hardin, Harrison, Hart, Henderson, Henry, Hickman, Jefferson, Jessamine, Kenton, Laurel, Lewis, Lincoln, Logan, Lyon, Madison, Marion, McCracken, McLean, Menifee, Monroe, Muhlenberg, Nicholas, Ohio, Oldham, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Rowan, Shelby, Simpson, Trigg, Warren, Webster, Whitley and Woodford.
2. MIT Election Data + Science Lab (MEDSL) 2022 official precinct returns, Kentucky: https://github.com/MEDSL/2022-elections-official/raw/main/individual_states/2022-ky-local-precinct-general.zip (ky22_cleaned.csv, office == "US HOUSE"). - Used for the 69 other counties: 67 whose recap PDF is a scanned image, Butler (whose PDF is corrupt and will not open), and Hancock (an unusual recap layout that was not parsed). - Cross-check: for the 49 recap-parsed counties other than Jefferson and Laurel, MEDSL's county D/R/other totals are identical to the recap totals. - In Jefferson, MEDSL is short: R by 16 and D by 69 against the recap, and it omits the 30 Cobble write-ins. The recap's Jefferson CD3 figures match FEC exactly (McGarvey 160,920; Ray 98,637; Cobble 30). - In Laurel, the recap shows 1 extra named write-in.

FIPS codes: Census national_county2020.txt.

2026 (unofficial)

Kentucky Secretary of State Election Night Reporting, https://vrsws.sos.ky.gov/liveresults/Statewide. For each House contest (contest ids 2, 122, 1694, 216, 157, 59 = CD1–CD6), the per-county breakdown was taken from the site's own POST /liveresults/ViewContestByCounty (contest=<id>). The site returns 403 to curl, so it was read in a Chrome tab.

The ENR does not print party labels. Parties were assigned as follows: - D: Williams (CD1), Wingfield (CD2), McGarvey (CD3), Strange (CD4), Pillersdorf (CD5), Dembo (CD6). - R: Comer, Guthrie, Rodriguez, Gallrein, Rogers, Alvarado. - Other: everyone else (Loecken, Todd, Wein, Serrano, Bowman, Lynch, and "Write-In").

These assignments were checked against the SBE's 2026 Primary Certification of Vote Totals (https://elect.ky.gov/Documents/2026%20Primary%20Certification%20of%20Vote%20Totals%20Final.pdf): - It lists Comer, Guthrie, Rodriguez, Gallrein, Rogers and Alvarado in Republican primaries. - It lists Wingfield, Strange and Dembo in Democratic primaries. - Williams, McGarvey and Pillersdorf were unopposed and are not printed there.

With these assignments the statewide D and R sums match the reference aggregate exactly.

2026 as-of

The ENR showed "Last Update: 11/9/2026 9:42:43 PM" (Kentucky/Eastern time) and "Counties Reporting: 120 / 120". All results are labeled unofficial.

Validation (sum of county rows vs statewide totals)

Explaining the 2022 gap, by candidate (our total vs FEC)

• CD1:
• Comer 184,103 vs 184,157 (−54).
• Ausbrooks 61,693 vs 61,701 (−8).
• Every CD1 county whose recap could be parsed matches MEDSL exactly, so these differences sit in CD1 counties that are only available as scanned images (Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Caldwell, Carlisle, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Fulton, Graves, Hopkins, Livingston, Marshall, Metcalfe, Russell, Taylor, Todd, Union, Washington). We could not check them against the official images, which would need OCR.
• CD2:
• Guthrie and Linderman are −1/−2 (MEDSL-sourced counties).
• CD3 (Jefferson): exact.
• CD4: exact (Massie, Lehman, Osborne).
• CD5:
• Rogers and Halbleib exact.
• Mazur (write-in) 8 vs 9.
• CD6:
• Barr and Young are each −2.
• Write-ins Cravens and Froedge are 8,340 + 68 vs FEC 8,970 + 81 (−643). Much of this is Madison County. Its recap reports House write-ins only as an unitemized "Write-In Totals" of 813, with no per-candidate split, so those votes are not in o. Unassigned or unitemized write-ins are excluded everywhere: Jefferson 253, Kenton 22, Laurel 41, Floyd 3, Madison 813.

Net effect: D and R are within 0.01% of FEC. The other column is about 3% low, because of write-ins the sources do not attribute to a named candidate. No district or county is missing.

District totals 2026 (D / R / other): - CD1 74,260 / 154,910 / 0 - CD2 81,112 / 145,139 / 4,807 - CD3 174,781 / 73,719 / 0 - CD4 103,713 / 137,623 / 12,499 - CD5 49,805 / 139,808 / 6,863 - CD6 138,777 / 114,030 / 10,754

Districts without a D or R candidate

• 2022: none. All 6 districts had a Democratic and a Republican nominee.
• 2026: none. All 6 districts had a Democratic and a Republican nominee.

Caveats

• Map: the source data shows no map change. The 126 county–district pairs with votes are identical in the 2022 data and the 2026 ENR, so both years use the 2022 enacted map.
• 2026 counts are unofficial and will change during canvass and certification.
• For 2022, 69 counties come from MEDSL's compilation of official precinct returns rather than directly from SBE files, because the SBE copies are scanned images. See the cross-check above.
• o = 0 means no third-party or named write-in House votes were reported in that county. Several districts had only D and R candidates: 2022 CD1, CD2 and CD3 apart from write-ins, and 2026 CD1 and CD3.

These notes record where each number came from and how it was checked. 2026 figures are unofficial. See the methodology and disclaimer.