Where the extra 2026 votes came from

State-by-state reconciliation of the U.S. House vote, 2022 vs 2026: party votes, primaries, registration and early ballots

2026 counts are unofficial and still coming in. House votes as of Nov 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET (434 of 435 districts reporting). Slow-counting states (California, Washington, Oregon, and others) will rise further. 2022 figures are the certified results.

Reconciling the Democratic increase

The 2026 Democratic gain is larger than the growth in total votes. The rest of it matches the drop in Republican votes.

Where it happened: change by state

Democratic changeRepublican change← fewer votes · more votes →

See county-level detail for every state →

Concentration

Full reconciliation table

Click a header to sort. ⚑ = district(s) with no D or R candidate in 2022, which inflates that party's 2026 gain if the seat was contested this time.

What this can and can't show yet

Solid

  • 2022 House votes by party: FEC certified totals, all 50 states.
  • 2026 House votes by party: near-complete counts, all 50 states. The state rows add up exactly to the published national totals.
  • 2022 registration and ballots by method: EAC Election Administration and Voting Survey (EAVS).
  • 2022 primary participation: FEC House primary votes by party.

Not yet available / caveats

  • 2026 registration by state isn't compiled nationally yet. States report it on different schedules.
  • 2026 primary votes by state aren't compiled yet (the FEC publishes them after certification). Pre-election reports put 2026 House primary ballots at roughly 12.6M Democratic vs 8.6M Republican, but that may not cover the same contests as the FEC's 2022 totals.
  • Early ballots: the 2026 numbers are UF Election Lab pre-election tallies (mostly as of Nov 2–6). The 2022 numbers are final EAVS counts of mail plus in-person early ballots. The definitions differ. Arizona, for example, counts many mail ballots dropped off on Election Day as early votes in the final tally. Alabama and New Hampshire have no early voting.
  • Election Day ballots for 2026 can only be estimated (two-party House votes minus early ballots) until states publish ballots cast by method.
  • Uncontested seats change from cycle to cycle. Texas had 8 districts without a Democrat in 2022, Alabama 2, and so on. Part of a state's gain can come from simply having a candidate on the ballot.
  • Party lines (fusion voting): the 2026 source counts each candidate's votes across all their ballot lines. FEC 2022 party columns count only the Democratic and Republican lines. For New York, the 2022 figures here have been replaced with NYS BOE certified candidate totals across all lines (D 3,199,496 · R 2,525,335, versus the party-line counts of 3,028,115 · 2,233,120), so both years are measured the same way. Smaller fusion states (CT, SC, VT, OR) still use FEC party-line figures for 2022, which slightly overstates their D/R gains. Alaska uses ranked-choice voting (first-round votes). Louisiana uses a jungle primary.
  • Indiana 2022 had a special election for IN-02 on the same ballot as the regular race. The FEC total includes both, which counts most IN-02 voters twice. The 2022 baseline here uses the regular races only (D 716,348 · R 1,108,351).